Day 7: A crystal mask, a thunderstorm and Murphy’s Law

The penultimate day of rehearsal: it is becoming increasingly clear what the viewer can expect. Today we saw the last artists of the second semifinal. Let’s take a closer look at the rehearsals:

AUSTRALIA: Whatever you think of Sheldon Riley, he sings like no other. During his emotional ballad he wears the white suit with the enormous drag of feathers. He wears his crystal mask for most of the act, but it goes off. It can’t be difficult for Australia to make it to the final.

CYPRUS: For the first time in years, Cyprus is singing (partially) in Greek again. Andromache and her dancers stand in a kind of shell as they sing the song. We have to admit that we would describe Andromache’s vocals as ‘not bad’. If is that a recommendation….?

IRELAND: Ireland falls into the ‘how nice’ category. Brooke’s vocals are certainly not bad, neither is the act. However, you may wonder if this is the song with which Ireland will finally reach the final again. We cannot rule out the possibility that it will not work.

NORTH MACEDONIA: Perhaps Andrea had hoped for greater success. She was not happy with her first rehearsal. The song comes across as screaming; a hoarseness that suits Kaliopi (2012 and 2016) but not Andrea.

ESTONIA: Unfortunately, Stefan can’t count on the 12 points from Armenia, because the country where his roots lie is performing in the other semifinal. The many movements he makes do have an effect on Stefan’s voice, but somehow it doesn’t seem to matter for the entry. It is a happy song that can easily go through to the final.

ROMANIA: The Romanians made some minor changes to the act, making it even better and slicker. Furthermore, it seemed as if WRS had changed the melody of the chorus a little bit here and there. In any case, a spectacular show is in store for Romania.

POLAND: The ballad of Polen starts very calmly with Ochman alone on stage. Halfway through, when the song becomes a little less quiet, the aforementioned dancers (forest nymphs?) come on stage. We see that a heavy thunderstorm erupts on the stage. Finally a strong contender for Poland agiain.

MONTENEGRO: A ballad in which not much happens in 3 minutes. The advantage is that not much can go wrong. We had already mentioned the blue dress that Vladana is wearing. Behind her a circle that most resembles the fluff ball of a dandelion. It is not sure whether it stands out enough to go to the final.

BELGIUM: The Belgians have a strong singer with a gospel-like power ballad in Jérémie Makiese. He will definitely get points for that. Fortunately, because the act he shows looks a bit stiff and doesn’t really do justice to the song and singer.

SWEDEN: Murphy’s Law strikes. If one thing goes wrong, everything immediately goes wrong. Problems with the sound, problems with the technique and a falling cameraman meant that she was only able to do one whole runthrough. Cornelia did manage to show how professional she is, by showing a good rehearsal even with all that trouble.

CZECH REPUBLIC: The act with lots of light and nice graphics fits very well with the Czech entry. In that respect it is a unity. The vocals, however, leave a lot to be desired. That could cost them their heads if it has to be clear who will go to the final.

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Eurovision, the grand final: what to expect

📷 EBU/Sarah Louise Bennett Tonight is the night: the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. By the end of the evening, we will know which country has won. The show The show will, of course, be opened by JJ, last year’s winner. He will perform the “Queen of the Night” aria together with his winning song “Wasted Love”. After that, the party gets started with Denmark. The line-up of 25 songs ends with Austria. That is not a case of the host country pulling strings: Austria drew that position fair and square. Once all the songs have been performed, the voting can begin. To bridge the gap, there will be an interval act. There has been plenty of grumbling about the quality of this year’s broadcasts, but this interval act looks genuinely fun. Big Eurovision names will take viewers on a journey through the contest’s entire history. Expect not only Verka Serduchka and Alexander Rybak, but also Max Mutzke, Ruslana, Lordi, Kristian Kostov, Erika Vikman and Miriana Conte. For every Eurovision fan, it should be a real treat. Cesár Sampson will then perform Billy Joel’s hit “Vienna”, while Joel himself will deliver a recorded message. Finland is the Eurovision 2026 winner favourite So, who is going to win? On paper, one entry stands head and shoulders above the rest: Finland’s Linda Lampenius x Pete Parkkonen with “Liekinheitin”. Bookmakers have made Finland the clear favourite. EurovisionWorld currently lists “Liekinheitin” at 42% to win, ahead of Australia’s Delta Goodrem with “Eclipse” on 19% and Greece’s Akylas with “Ferto” on 8%. The fan polls tell a similar story. Finland won the OGAE Poll with 459 points, followed by Denmark and Australia. It also won the INFE Poll with 172 points, ahead of Greece and Sweden. On My Eurovision Scoreboard, Finland was also ranked first, with more than 56,000 app users included in the rankings. That matters because Finland looks like a rare jury-televote hybrid. ESC Insight’s model placed “Liekinheitin” almost evenly between jury and public support. The running order also helps: Finland performs 17th, in the second half of the show. Why Australia can still win Australia is the big late challenger. After Delta Goodrem’s semi-final performance, The Guardian reported that Australia jumped from fourth to second in the odds, behind only Finland. There is also rehearsal momentum. Eurovoix reported that Australia topped the final press poll. It also won the Grand Final audience poll after Dress Rehearsal Two, with 562 votes, or 15.5%, from 3,620 participants. Streaming, YouTube and iTunes clues Spotify and YouTube do not decide Eurovision, but they do show reach. Aussievision’s latest Spotify ranking, dated 10 May, has Italy first with 25.4 million streams, Sweden second with 18.6 million and Finland third with 12.3 million. On YouTube, Malta leads with 7.2 million views, followed by Greece and Cyprus, while Finland sits fifth with 3.58 million. The iTunes picture is more scattered. ESC Tracker shows “Liekinheitin” at number one in Finland, but Italy’s “Per sempre sì” is also charting well across several countries. Prediction: Finland, with Australia close behind So, who is gonna win Eurovision tonight? The safest prediction is Finland. The odds, fan polls and running order all point in the same direction. However, Australia is the danger. If juries reward Delta Goodrem’s vocals and the public connects with the performance, “Eclipse” could still overturn the favourite. Israel Still, last year showed us that Israel can score extremely well with the televote. Later research suggested that, partly because of calls from the government to vote for Israel twenty times, the country received far more votes than expected. The rules have since been tightened. Even so, something similar could happen again. Israel has already received a warning over this kind of behaviour this year. That makes Israel a possible winner too, whether we like it or not. Our prediction: Finland wins Eurovision 2026, Australia finishes close behind, and Greece, Denmark and Israel fight for the rest of the top five. Let’s hope people vote for the music and the show.

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Eurovision 2026
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Eurovision, the grand final: what to expect

📷 EBU/Sarah Louise Bennett Tonight is the night: the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. By the end of the evening, we will know which country has won. The show The show will, of course, be opened by JJ, last year’s winner. He will perform the “Queen of the Night” aria together with his winning song “Wasted Love”. After that, the party gets started with Denmark. The line-up of 25 songs ends with Austria. That is not a case of the host country pulling strings: Austria drew that position fair and square. Once all the songs have been performed, the voting can begin. To bridge the gap, there will be an interval act. There has been plenty of grumbling about the quality of this year’s broadcasts, but this interval act looks genuinely fun. Big Eurovision names will take viewers on a journey through the contest’s entire history. Expect not only Verka Serduchka and Alexander Rybak, but also Max Mutzke, Ruslana, Lordi, Kristian Kostov, Erika Vikman and Miriana Conte. For every Eurovision fan, it should be a real treat. Cesár Sampson will then perform Billy Joel’s hit “Vienna”, while Joel himself will deliver a recorded message. Finland is the Eurovision 2026 winner favourite So, who is going to win? On paper, one entry stands head and shoulders above the rest: Finland’s Linda Lampenius x Pete Parkkonen with “Liekinheitin”. Bookmakers have made Finland the clear favourite. EurovisionWorld currently lists “Liekinheitin” at 42% to win, ahead of Australia’s Delta Goodrem with “Eclipse” on 19% and Greece’s Akylas with “Ferto” on 8%. The fan polls tell a similar story. Finland won the OGAE Poll with 459 points, followed by Denmark and Australia. It also won the INFE Poll with 172 points, ahead of Greece and Sweden. On My Eurovision Scoreboard, Finland was also ranked first, with more than 56,000 app users included in the rankings. That matters because Finland looks like a rare jury-televote hybrid. ESC Insight’s model placed “Liekinheitin” almost evenly between jury and public support. The running order also helps: Finland performs 17th, in the second half of the show. Why Australia can still win Australia is the big late challenger. After Delta Goodrem’s semi-final performance, The Guardian reported that Australia jumped from fourth to second in the odds, behind only Finland. There is also rehearsal momentum. Eurovoix reported that Australia topped the final press poll. It also won the Grand Final audience poll after Dress Rehearsal Two, with 562 votes, or 15.5%, from 3,620 participants. Streaming, YouTube and iTunes clues Spotify and YouTube do not decide Eurovision, but they do show reach. Aussievision’s latest Spotify ranking, dated 10 May, has Italy first with 25.4 million streams, Sweden second with 18.6 million and Finland third with 12.3 million. On YouTube, Malta leads with 7.2 million views, followed by Greece and Cyprus, while Finland sits fifth with 3.58 million. The iTunes picture is more scattered. ESC Tracker shows “Liekinheitin” at number one in Finland, but Italy’s “Per sempre sì” is also charting well across several countries. Prediction: Finland, with Australia close behind So, who is gonna win Eurovision tonight? The safest prediction is Finland. The odds, fan polls and running order all point in the same direction. However, Australia is the danger. If juries reward Delta Goodrem’s vocals and the public connects with the performance, “Eclipse” could still overturn the favourite. Israel Still, last year showed us that Israel can score extremely well with the televote. Later research suggested that, partly because of calls from the government to vote for Israel twenty times, the country received far more votes than expected. The rules have since been tightened. Even so, something similar could happen again. Israel has already received a warning over this kind of behaviour this year. That makes Israel a possible winner too, whether we like it or not. Our prediction: Finland wins Eurovision 2026, Australia finishes close behind, and Greece, Denmark and Israel fight for the rest of the top five. Let’s hope people vote for the music and the show.

Read More »
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